![]() Staff and student weather-related lateness will be excused.Īnd though NYC is under a winter weather advisory, the forecast predicts no further snowfall for the remainder of the day. All programs and activities will be held as scheduled. ℹ️ All New York City public school buildings will remain open on Friday, January 7, 2022. NYC public schools announced that they will remain open, but excuse tardiness as traveling conditions were difficult for some this morning. According to Storm Team NY 4, snow flakes fell at a rate of 2 inches per hour for some areas.Īs the overnight storm pulls away from the city, some impressive snow totals are coming in from the five boroughs. Other parts of NYC were hit with anywhere from 6 to 7 inches of snow, spanning from Midtown to Bayside. 5.5 inches were recorded in Central Park and a whopping 8.4 inches hit LGA! Already more than 330 flights were cancelled by this morning, reports Storm Team 4 NY Snow fell from late last night until early this morning and accumulated all across the city. And this morning, we woke up to an absolute winter wonderland! There’s truly nowhere else as magical as NYC when snowfall first hits. Fortunately, people who were paying close attention to all the possibilities weren’t caught off guard.Something about NYC’s first major snowfall of the season fills us with giddy excitement. New York is experiencing a blizzard that blows away most expectations. Instead, it turns out that the GFS was very wrong this time. It could have easily been right this time, and many New Yorkers probably would have laughed that forecasters had hyped up another storm. Weather buffs might remember that the GFS was one of the models that correctly predicted that last year’s January snow would underperform in New York City. It forecast amounts of less than an inch only a few miles away. The Global Forecast System was on the other end of the spectrum and had only about 3 to 4 inches falling in New York City in its run late Thursday night. ![]() Of course, it could have gone the other way. Still, as I said on Twitter, you simply couldn’t feel too confident of lower snowfall totals in New York City because the NAM was consistent in calling for big snows. Now, the NAM has been known to forecast too much precipitation ( see the aforementioned faux blizzard in New York last year), and it definitely overdid snow amounts north of New York City in this case. The run late on Thursday evening, which now looks prescient, showed 2 feet of snow falling in New York City. ![]() Snow totals in Ulster County (NY) and Pike County (PA) Scenes from Tri-States First Winter Storm of 2020. In particular, the North American Mesoscale model showed New York getting hit hard run after run. Future Radar Storm Chasers Live Storm Reports Rainfall Totals. Snow totals north and west of New York City. There were other forecast models suggesting that New York City would get heavy snow. A 50-mile shift in the wrong direction (wrong for this snow-lover, anyway) would have left the city with very little snow, while the same shift in the other direction would have given it what we’re seeing now. NYC/JFK 6.5 in 0400 PM 02/07 Official NWS Obs. As I wrote on Wednesday, New York was right on the edge of heavy snowfall. You might be saying to yourself, that’s a wide range. As the overnight storm pulls away from the city, some impressive snow totals are coming in from the five boroughs. According to Storm Team NY 4, snow flakes fell at a rate of 2 inches per hour for some areas. In this case, the maximum potential looks like it will be closest to the truth. Other parts of NYC were hit with anywhere from 6 to 7 inches of snow, spanning from Midtown to Bayside. You can see that in its Friday morning briefing: Even though the agency was forecasting 7 to 12 inches at the time, its maps listed a minimum potential of less than an inch and a maximum potential of 23 inches in New York City. The National Weather Service in New York City did a good job expressing the doubt in its forecast through the use of minimum and maximum amounts. 1 It’s the perfect example of why forecasts that vary based on probability are so important, and why outlier predictions should not be dismissed. This weekend, the exact opposite is happening: New York City is getting far more snow than the forecast of 7 to 12 inches from the National Weather Service, which was issued less than 24 hours before the storm hit the city. ![]() We saw its perils in January 2015, when meteorologists wiped egg off their faces because New York City didn’t get anywhere near the foot and half or more that was forecast. One of the hardest tasks in weather forecasting is projecting snow totals.
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